Business Opportunity Evaluator
Evaluate business opportunities with this AI prompt, using Bayesian analysis, base rates, evidence assessment, risk calculation, and structured investment recommendations.
What this prompt does
- Analyzes business opportunities using Bayesian probability methods to determine if they're worth pursuing.
- Updates success likelihood based on strengths, weaknesses, and missing evidence from the opportunity details.
- Delivers a clear pursue-or-pass recommendation with expected value calculations and specific conditions.
How to use this prompt
- Fill in the [DESCRIBE THE OPPORTUNITY IN DETAIL — WHAT IT IS, HOW YOU FOUND IT, WHAT THE PITCH OR PROPOSITION LOOKS LIKE], [WHY YOU'RE CONSIDERING IT — THE UPSIDE, THE EXCITEMENT, WHAT DREW YOU IN], [YOUR DOUBTS, RED FLAGS, OR UNANSWERED QUESTIONS], [YOUR AVAILABLE CAPITAL, TIME, SKILLS, AND EXIS…
- Example: "The opportunity is a franchise coffee shop in a new shopping mall that opens in six months. I found it through a franchise expo. Why I'm considering it: the brand is well-known and the mall has anchor tenants signed. What makes me hesitant: the upfront cost is $250,000 and I've never ru…
Premium prompt — included in the Complete AI Bundle. Part of the Business prompts collection in the God of Prompt library.